2014 NBA Draft Rankings: March Madness Is Coming

March 5th, 2014 | by Clint Johnson
 (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

With a series of misfortunes leading to confrontation with a fan and a three game suspension, Marcus Smart completely lost his footing this season, falling both in people’s esteem and down draft boards.  Can the Cowboy’s Mr. Everything make a heroic climb back in the madness of March? (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

The greatest month in American sports is nearly upon us.  Expect even more madness than usual with no team a dominant favorite and college hoops riding an influx of ultra-talented yet fascinatingly erratic freshmen.  Anything could happen, and probably will.

Even dedicated NBA fans have reason to stay glued to their television throughout the tournament as possibly the best draft class since 2003 largely sorts itself out elimination style.  This class is deep and talented, yet more and more grumbles are sounding that there is no true standout, no obvious number one who can deliver both elite upside and (of paramount importance to team front office personnel) little risk.

The class is a high stakes crap shoot, and people will largely lay down their bets based on what they see players do in the bright lights of the tournament.

So in my rankings this month I include both a tiered ranking of which players I group together as prospects and things to watch for from each player in the NCAA Tournament.1

First Tier: Franchise Centerpieces

My top tier consists of the two players I see as all-league prospects on both ends of the court, true franchise centerpiece talents.

Joel Embiid, C — 7’0″ and 240 lbs; 19 years old; Freshman, Kansas.  Comp. David Robinson.

My rank: 1st; Draft Express rank: 1st; NBADraft.net rank: 1st

2013-2014 Stats: 11.2 pts, 8.1 rbs, 1.4 asts, 0.9 stls, 2.6 blks, 2.4 tos, 62.6% FG, 20% 3P, 68.5% FT

To understand why Embiid sits atop nearly every big board at this point, simply add together several numbers: seven feet tall; he has only played organized basketball since 20112; and per 40 production of 19.4 points, 14 rebounds, and 4.5 blocks.

What to watch for in the tournament: Can Embiid manage his fouls and his temper, and most of all, will his recent back injury linger into the tournament?

Andrew Wiggins, SF — 6’8and 197 lbs; 19 years old; Freshman, Kansas.  Comp: Kobe Bryant.

My rank: 2nd; Draft Express rank: 2nd; NBADraft.net rank: 3rd

2013-2014 Stats: 16.3 pts, 5.9 rbs, 1.6 asts, 1.0 stls, 0.9 blks, 2.1 tos, 44.1% FG, 34.3% 3P, 76% FT

While I put Embiid slightly above Wiggins as an overall prospect at this moment, were the Jazz to somehow end up with the first overall pick, I’d advise them to select the Great Canadian Hope and twice on Sundays.  He has the tools to be an elite NBA wing at nearly every aspect of the game.  As for those complaining about his lack of assertiveness, consider his stats against teams ranked in the top 25 of college basketball: 17.8 points and 7.5 rebounds while shooting 45.6% from the field, 42.9% from three, and 83.6% from the line on 5.5 free throw attempts.3  Kansas is 7 and 3 in those games.

What to watch for: Impact.  Wiggins has proven prone to disappearing acts in the regular season, and that can’t happen in the tournament.


Second Tier: Offensive Centerpieces

This pair of players lacks the potential to dominate a game on the defensive side of the ball, which results in a lower ranking than Embiid or Wiggins.  But when it comes to pure scoring potency, you find the best prospects by a large margin here.

Jabari Parker, SF/PF — 6’8″ and 241 lbs; 18 years old; Freshman, Duke.  Comp: Carmelo Anthony.

My rank: 3rd; Draft Express rank: 3rd; NBADraft.net rank: 2nd

2013-2014 Stats: 18.8 pts, 8.9 rbs, 1.3 asts, 1.1 stls, 1.4 blks, 2.4 tos, 47.8% FG, 37% 3P, 73.1% FT

After a fairly dramatic slump (that happened to coincide with the death of Coach K’s brother and, by the Duke leader’s own admission, a spate of poor coaching), Parker is back to torturing opposing defenses.  Notably, while his shooting from distance has fallen somewhat, he’s attacking the hoop with far greater determination.  A team looking for instant impact and dynamic scoring would take Parker first overall.

What to look for: Can the ultimate offensive option diversify his impact by dishing assists and holding his own on the defensive end? If that doesn’t happen, Duke won’t threaten the Final Four.

Julius Randle, PF — 6’9″ and 248 lbs; 19 years old; Freshman, Kentucky.  Comp: Chris Webber.

My rank: 4th; Draft Express rank: 4th; NBADraft.net rank: 4th

2013-2014 Stats: 15.5 pts, 10.4 rbs, 1.4 asts, 0.4 stls, 0.9 blks, 2.8 tos, 51.8% FG, 23.1% 3P, 72.8% FT

Randle has become a less dominant post presence as the season has progressed and other Kentucky players have absorbed some of that load.  He’s still dominating the glass, however, and if the Wildcats advance deep into the tournament it wouldn’t surprise me at all if Randle reverts to the unguardable force he was earlier.  No player has seen more double and triple teams this season, and if that changes in the tournament, Randle could be the breakout player of March.

What to watch for: Randle will never be a defensive stopper, but he has both the agility and strength to be a good positional defender — if he’s energetic and invested.  He needs to be better in March.  Just check out his coach’s response to Randle’s recent defensive effort.


Third Tier: High Risk, High Reward

Talent-wise and in the long term, these players belong with the top tier prospects — perhaps even above some.  But where the top two tiers strike me as being relatively low risk picks, the same can’t be said for these players.  They might become superstars or, if put in the wrong situation with unrealistic developmental expectations, be seen as gross busts.

Noah Vonleh, PF/C — 6’10” and 242 lbs; 18 years old; Freshman, Indiana.  Comp: A stronger Chris Bosh.

My rank: 5th; Draft Express rank: 7th; NBADraft rank: 5th

2013-2014 Stats: 11.6 pts, 9.1 rbs, 0.6 asts, 0.9 stls, 1.3 blks, 2.2 tos, 53.5% FG, 55.6% 3P, 71.8% FT

It’s hard to imagine a top ten prospect for the NBA draft being hidden while playing at Indiana, but that’s largely what Vonleh has done.  He may not even have a chance to play in the NCAA Tournament, his team is so bad.  But that, combined with the existence of more media friendly prospects, has obscured a truly elite combination of skill and physical ability in Vonleh.  What other player with a 7’4″ wingspan can hit the college three at a 56% clip?4  Vonleh’s one of the youngest freshmen in the country, and his upside is in the borderline tier one atmosphere.

What to watch for: The Big Ten tournament, because they’d better win to make sure we see more.

Dante Exum, PG/PG — 6’6″ and 188 lbs; 18 years old; Australian Institute of Sport.  Comp: Derrick Rose.

My rank: 6th; Draft Express rank: 5th; NBADraft.net rank: 7th

2013-2014 Stats: NA

Exum’s move above Smart has more to do with Smart’s decent into personal basketball hell5 than a change in my estimation of what the Aussie offers as a prospect.  Until I see more of him on the court, he isn’t approaching the top four prospects.  Period.  One interesting note: I’m starting to hear a few more people voicing agreement with me that Exum’s future lies at shooting guard in the NBA, not the point.  To me, this has always lowered the value of his physical tools.

What to watch for: NA

Fourth Tier: Limited Stars

While I love both these players6, there is no denying their shooting is a substantial negative given the standards of each’s position.  They are also both caught somewhat between positions, so it’s hard to see either matching the overall upside of players ranked above them.

Marcus Smart, PG/SG — 6’4″ and 200 lbs; 19 years old; Sophomore, Oklahoma State.  Comp: A hybrid of Jason Kidd and Joe Dumars.

My rank: 7th; Draft Express rank: 6th; NBADraft.net rank: 6th

2013-2014 Stats: 17.6 pts, 5.7 rbs, 4.7 asts, 2.6 stls, 0.5 blks, 2.7 tos, 41.8% FG, 29.3% 3P, 73.4% FT

Marcus Smart’s 2014 has been a story worthy of Dante Alighieri.7  First, starting forward Michael Cobbins went down for the year with a torn Achilles.  Then, backup guard Stephen Clark was dismissed from the program for his second arrest.  The Cowboys then proceeded to lose four straight conference games, dropping out of the top 25.  It all became too much for Smart, who after hustling into the stands and falling was seduced by an idiot fan of Texas Tech into a confrontation.  He shoved the heckler in response to an insult that Smart originally claimed to be racist but has since been asserted to have been much less inflammatory.  After a three game suspension, (all losses) Smart is left with a climb out of the pit and back to his former reputation, on and off the court.  His first steps: averaging 18 points, 5.7 rebounds, 7.3 assists, and 5 steals a game in his first three games back from suspension, including a home victory against the top two prospects in the draft and Kansas.

What to look for: The Cowboys will most likely make the tournament with Smart back, but to advance as far as his ambitions he will have to facilitate like a true point guard.  He’ll also have to play his famed defense even if the referees limit his physicality or allow opponents to be extremely physical with him.

Aaron Gordon, SF/PF — 6’9″ and 212 lbs; 18 years old; Freshman, Arizona.  Comp: Shawn Kemp meets a young Dennis Rodman.

My rank: 8th; Draft Express rank: 8th; NBADraft.net rank: 21st

2013-2014 Stats:12.2 pts, 8.0 rbs, 1.6 asts, 0.7 stls, 0.9 blks, 1.4 tos, 49.5% FG, 32.3% 3P, 43.4% FT

Any coach in the world would love to have Gordon on his team — but not necessarily under the expectation the Arizona star would be the centerpiece of his NBA squad.  Gordon does so much well, including many things far too many players don’t do8, but that can’t erase the fact he has an largely ineffective shot due to temperamental mechanics.  The expectations for Gordon may simply be beyond a wonderful, unique, but at this point complementary player.

What to watch for: Gordon always contributes in multiple ways, but in the tournament he will need to be a major asset on the offensive end, which he heretofore has not been consistently.  Also, look to see if Gordon can use his intangibles to make game defining plays when his team needs them.

Fifth Tier: The Drop Off

After the top eight, I see a substantial drop off in talent.  While this is a deep draft, I think these top eight prospects are a clear class above the rest when it comes to potential.  Though some teams see realistic star potential in some of the following players, personally, I think from this point on teams will be picking from a host of role players to fit nearly any need — but no one’s desire for a star.

Dario Saric, SF/PF — 6’10” and 223 lbs; 19 years old; Cibona Zagreb.  Comp: Boris Diaw.

My rank: 9th; Draft Express rank: 12th; NBADraft.net rank: 15th

2013-2014 Stats (Adriatic League): 16.3 pts, 9.1 rbs, 2.9 asts, 1.5 stls, 0.5 blks, 3.0 tos, 50.8% FG, 30.5% 3P, 70.3% FT

Saric is the best international prospect in this class after Exum.  He may be the best passer in the draft regardless of position, and his knowledge of how to play the game offensively is incredibly advanced for his age.  Improved scoring and assertiveness within the last year has some believing he just might be one of the international stars who manages to transition to NBA stardom.  I’m not quite that optimistic.  Without NBA-caliber athleticism and as a minus defender, I see Saric as a quality addition for a team capable of using his skill set but not a future star.

What to watch for: NA

Tyler Ennis, PG — 6’2″ and 180 lbs; 19 years old; Freshman, Syracuse.  Comp: A slightly more athletic Luke Ridnour.

My rank: 10th; Draft Express rank: 9th; NBADraft.net rank: 13th

2013-2014 Stats: 12 pts, 3.4 rbs, 5.5 asts, 2.0 stls, 0.2 blks, 1.7 tos, 41.2% FG, 36.5% 3P, 75.2% FT

Ennis is a very good player, especially given his age.  That said, I think the talk of him coming off the board before Marcus Smart is ludicrous.  His strength is orchestrating a team: controlling the ball and the pace, making the right pass at the right time, old-fashioned leadership qualities.  But he lacks that one definable NBA skill.  Ennis is perhaps a generation late.  Twenty years ago, a young point guard with his skill set would not have been hurt by good but not great athleticism and no exceptional single skill.  Now, it’s hard for me to project him as anything better than an average starter in the NBA unless he shows the ability to take over games as a shooter.

What to watch for: Ennis will have to show the ability to take more of the scoring load in the tournament —  either that or uncover a turbo button he’s kept secret all this time.

James Young, SG/SF — 6’7″ and 202 lbs; 18 years old; Freshman, Kentucky.  Comp: Richard Jefferson.

My rank: 11th; Draft Express rank: 10th; NBADraft.net rank: 22nd

2013-2014 Stats: 14.4 pts, 5.1 rbs, 2.3 asts, 1.0 stls, 0.2 blks, 2.4 tos, 39.7% FG, 32.8% 3P, 67.2% FT

The solid mechanics of his shot, improved performance as the season has gone along, and a prototypical build for an NBA wing (he has a 6’11” wingspan) are all appealing.  This said, just about everything in Young’s favor is implication of future ability rather than present capability.  At this point, he’s a good but not exceptional athlete; he has a pretty shot but isn’t even a good and consistent shooter; he whips out the occasional crisp, perfect pass, but not enough of them.  The NBA is loaded with such players high on talent and erratic skill but without any foundational area to build from.  A team that takes Young could end up with anything five years from now, which includes nothing.

What to watch for: With Julius Randle drawing double and triple teams regularly, Young will have the opportunity for big scoring nights if he shoots well, and he’d better.  He also needs to find other ways to contribute given his physical ability.

Clint Capela, PF — 6’10” and 211 lbs; 19 years old; Chalon, Intl.  Comp: Noah Vonleh without a jumper.

My rank: 12th; Draft Express rank: 16; NBADraft.net rank: 26

2013-2014 Stats (French League): 8.3 pts, 4.2 rbs, 1.3 asts, 0.6 stls, 1.9 blks, 1.3 tos, 65.6% FG, – 3p, 52.8% FT

For a team that loves but misses out on Noah Vonleh, Capela is a strangely similar consolation prize in terms of physical tools.9  Capela may be even a tad more athletic, and he recently outdid Tony Parker for the most outstanding single-game performance in French league history.  That said, his skill level is nowhere as advanced or diverse as Vonleh’s, and there are questions about his work ethic and IQ for the game where there are none such about Vonleh.  But in possibly the best draft in a generation, front offices are going to be eager to land a future star, and Capela’s upside may be top ten in this class if you’re willing to accept substantial risk.

What to watch for: NA

Gary Harris, SG — 6’4″ and 210 lbs; 19 years old; Sophomore, Michigan State.  Comp: O.J. Mayo-lite.

My rank: 13th; Draft Express rank: 11th; NBADraft.net rank: 8th

2013-2014 Stats: 17.9 pts, 4.3 rbs, 2.7 asts, 2.0 stls, 0.3 blks, 1.8 tos, 41.7% FG, 34.7% 3P, 80.2% FT

It’s hard to hide the fact that Harris’ season has been a disappointment for NBA scouts.  Yes, he still defends well and with dedication, plays with heart and a willingness to step up in big moments, and has improved as a passer from a year ago.  But going into this season his prime value lay in the belief that he was a dead-eye shooter and that’s simply been proven untrue.  I expect him to be a good sixth to eighth player on an NBA team, a balanced guy who won’t hurt you anywhere, but the combination of his size and mediocre shooting make it hard for me to project him as even a good NBA starter.

What to watch for: Can he get hot from three to cover up some of his inconsistency this season or make huge plays to highlight his intangibles?

P. J. Hairston, SG — 6’5″ and 227 lbs; 21 years old; Junior, Texas Legends, NBDL.  Comp: Aaron Afflalo.

My rank: 14th; Draft Express rank: 19th; NBADraft.net rank: 38th

2013-2014 Stats: 22.2 pts, 3.9 rbs, 0.9 asts, 1.7 stls, 0.4 blks, 1.9 tos, 44.9% FG, 36.9% 3P, 87.9% FT

I’m going out on a limb a little pegging Hairston as a lottery candidate.  But I have serious questions about all the other potential players at this slot, including Doug McDermott, Willie Cauley-Stein, Rodney Hood, and Zach LaVine.  Hairston has looked dynamic in the D-League, including two 40 point games.  While history shows that D-League performance is far from a dependable indicator of NBA success,10 the team at the end of the lottery this season will be pretty good already and looking to win immediately.  I suspect Hairston will be drafted as a guy who can fill a role immediately without giving up a ton of upside.

What to look for: NA

As of Right Now…

The Jazz have continued to better the expectations of most by playing .500 ball and, thanks to the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse riding through New York recently, find themselves with the eighth worst record in the league.  I still think they fall a few slots by the end of the season.  However, if the season were to end now, I believe: with the eighth pick in the 2014 NBA Draft, the Utah Jazz select…

Aaron Gordon from Arizona.

Clint Johnson

Clint Johnson

Clint Johnson is a professional author, writing educator, and editor. He teaches writing at Salt Lake Community College. A frequent presenter at both writing and educational conferences, he writes about the Jazz as a break from his other writing work.

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  1. Michael Matern says:

    So, everybody in the first three tiers is going to be a Hall of Famer, huh?

    Maybe tone down the NBA comps just a bit.

    • Clint Johnson says:

      Fair reaction, though not exactly what I mean. My comparisons are primarily stylistic and about ceiling. The chance that all these players reach these ceilings is extremely small. My intent is to convey: 1) which players readers will likely know to give them an idea of how I see these prospects’ skill sets; and 2) what grade of potential I see in them, as the draft places so much emphasis on potential.

      I’m not suggesting Embiid will be Robinson or Wiggins will be Kobe. Rather, I’m saying their games strike me as similar (often at similar ages) and that I do see them as possessing the potential of becoming All-NBA stalwarts.

      And just for the record, the only two players I see as having a chance to be elite centerpieces are Embiid and Wiggins. There may end up being playoff caliber team centerpieces five or six deep when it’s all done, but not likely more than that.

  2. tc says:

    On your February 28th podcast, “Predicting NBA Draft Prospects with Stats”, Layne Vastro made some arguments as to why Wiggins wouldn’t be as good as predicted. Why don’t you agree with the data and reasoning Mr. Vastro presented.

    • Clint Johnson says:

      Great question! I don’t disagree with the data, but I do the interpretation of it. Two reasons Layne is hesitant about Wiggins are his inefficiency in the half court and that he doesn’t steal the ball more, as those numbers predict NBA performance fairly well as statistics go. But when I watch Wiggins, those are two areas where I think he’s better than the numbers.

      Offensively, I think it’s unwise to just write off a dominant open court player’s ability when he projects as being dominant in the NBA as well. Wiggins has elite open court potential even by NBA standards. He doesn’t have the strength of LeBron James, certainly, but he’ll be a nightmare in the open court, and that’s valuable. Next, Wiggins bears a disproportionate responsibility for Kansas’ offense in low efficiency situations, such as with a low shot clock and when trying to make a comeback at the end of games. In such situations, there are a lot of plays specifically called for him. I don’t hold that against him and so credit him as a better shooter than his numbers (and I think he is). Finally, consider the stats I gave about his efficiency against top competition. In the wide open NBA game, I think Wiggins will become more efficient, not less, and his efficiency at the college level doesn’t concern me given these factors. His lack of intensity and will to dominate does sometimes, but not his efficiency.

      As for the steals, we aren’t quite sure why that is such a good predictor of NBA success. But two things I know: Wiggins has super-elite speed and athleticism for his size and position (one thing steals represent) and he’s also a disciplined and borderline dominant defender, especially given his age. Give me a player with NBA physicality (he needs to get stronger, and he will) who can lock down a wing defender, and a low steal rate doesn’t concern me as much.

      Great question.

      • tc says:

        Thanks so much for your thoughtful answer. And, I’m sorry for my poorly worded question. (I did not mean to imply that you were disagreeing with the data.)

        Is there any analysis being done that differentiates steals into anticipatory and reactionary? Do both types of steals matter equally for predicting success at each position? I could be making something up, but I think that separating steals into types would help make their predictive ability more understandable.

        • Clint Johnson says:

          This is another great question, and I’m afraid I don’t know the answer. I do know it’s something that people wonder about when projecting players from college. For example, Tyler Ennis’s steal rate is debated because he plays in the Syracuse zone, as was Michael Carter-Williams’ last year. The same is true of the steal rate of players in risk-adverse defensive systems (which would include Wiggins playing under Bill Self, in my estimation).

  3. Paul Johnson says:

    The top 7 players in this draft (as you have described them, and with which I agree, except perhaps on rank) are very interesting to analyze. (I would also opine that the talent drop-off in the 2014 draft begins after Marcus Smart at #7, rather than after Aaron Gordon at #8.) It’s hard to say which of those top 7 players will turn out to be the best NBA players, because they all have their strengths and weaknesses, and they are all very young and undeveloped. For example, because of his lack of killer instinct, Wiggins may well turn into Marvin Williams or Rudy Gay, rather than Kobe Bryant. And, Vonleh and Smart may well turn out to be the best players taken in the draft, even if they are taken somewhere in the 5-7 slots. Therefore, the Jazz may well be much better off choosing in the 5-7 slots in the draft than choosing in the top 4, because they may get much better value for the buck at those lower slots.

    • Clint Johnson says:

      Good assessment. I understand the argument that Gordon isn’t as fine a prospect as the others who top this list. I agree that of all the prospects, he is the most likely to possess a fatal flaw in that shooting stroke. I also agree that the youth of this class’s cream adds variability to the projection.

      Personally, while I do see Embiid and Wiggins as the best prospects, my argument for why the Jazz should prefer to pick in the top three has everything to do with position. A franchise wing is the easiest star to build around given their diverse talents. The Jazz already have Favors in the post, and I’m on the record as saying I think he has a realistic chance to be a star in this league on the interior. Pairing him with a perennial All-Star on the wing would easily be the best of all options, to my mind. It’s why I especially like Wiggins for the Jazz, as I see Wiggins as a two-way elite prospect at the wing. If the Jazz got a true #1 who is also an all-defense candidate at the wing to pair with an all-defensive candidate in the post, that’s a formula for championship contention. That said, I completely agree that whoever has the top four or five picks in this year’s draft is going to have a strangely stressful job on their hands. No one wants to be the team who drafts the next Darko Milicic when they could have had Dwyane Wade, Carmelo Anthony, or Chris Bosh, and there very well could be a Darko in here somewhere.

      • Paul Johnson says:

        Yesterday we finally all saw what the scouts have been projecting about Wiggins all season. Wow! The version of Wiggins we saw yesterday in the game with WVU could clearly be the second coming of Kobe Bryant. He did it all–steals, blocks, rebounds, 3-point shooting, drives, put-backs, mid-range game.

        I’ve always thought it would be ideal for the Jazz to get a scoring wing in this draft–either Parker or Wiggins. Now, I think there’s no doubt that Wiggins has the #1 talent everyone thought he might have–and he’s the guy we should all hope the Jazz are able to select.

        However, even if that doesn’t happen, I still think that all of the top 7 players in this year’s draft could improve the Jazz and make the Jazz a better team, or would at least be a valuable asset the Jazz could use as part of a trade for a very good veteran player.

        Although I don’t want the Jazz’s core players to get disheartened by losing so many games, it would sure help the Jazz’s long-term chances if they were to lose all but one or two more games this season. Therefore, it wouldn’t hurt my feelings if the Orlando game on March 22nd was the Jazz’s last win of the season.

        • Clint Johnson says:

          I expected at least one breakout game from Wiggins at the end of the season or in the tournament, but that game was more than I anticipated. But to my mind, that’s Wiggins: unrefined explosiveness in nearly every aspect of the game. 41 points on 67% shooting and 40% from three, 15 made free throws, 9 rebounds (4 offensive), 2 assists, 5 steals, 4 blocks, 5 turnovers, and 5 personal fouls. He scored nearly half his team’s points on a night when all his teammates combined for 7 assists. No other prospect beside Marcus Smart is capable of even approaching such a game. One reason we haven’t seen such a monster night before is Bill Self has tried very hard to keep Wiggins within the system. But when he’s let out, that’s the kind of night he can have.

          To put it in perspective, Wiggins now has the highest single-game point total of any top prospect this season, and the highest rebound total (more than Embiid, or Randle, or Vonleh, or Gordon). Only Marcus Smart has topped his steals in a game, and only Embiid and Parker (playing center) have bested his blocks (he’s tied with Vonley and Gordon). He is capable of production across the board in excess for his position, and I think he projects that way in the NBA as well.

          I agree any of the top prospects could help the Jazz. The trickiest situation, to my mind, would be if the clear right pick wherever they end up is Exum or Smart. To my mind, Alec Burks is a high quality starter in this league and should be maybe the second priority for the team after Favors, as he may be had at a bargain price. That means do they replace Trey Burke after his rookie season with a combo guard? Tough call. Personally, I take Smart over Burke at the point. If it’s Exum, at this point I try to trade down one or two and get Vonleh, Randle, or Smart plus a future asset.

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