Comments on: Jazz 2010-2011 Season Forecast – Steady With Sloan http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/ The ESPN TrueHoop Utah Jazz Site Wed, 17 Sep 2014 22:05:32 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.0 By: Glenn http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-310 Thu, 14 Oct 2010 03:04:02 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-310 I don’t think Raja is the key to 59 wins. CJ and others can fill in adequately for him.

AK definitely is, and that raises the risk factor significantly, but what the heck! He didn’t play with the national team this summer but let his body heal up. So let’s raise our glasses to a healthy year for the X factor!

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By: jtshoopsblog http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-309 Wed, 13 Oct 2010 14:54:53 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-309 Too much math for me. I’m not in a statistics class for Christ’s sake.

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By: Willi Germany http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-308 Wed, 13 Oct 2010 08:42:43 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-308 I’m with you, Glenn IF A. Kirilenko plays 80-82 games, IF Raja Bell plays 80-82 games.
So, basically in a perfect Jazz world I would agree on your bold prediction of 59 wins.

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By: Glenn http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-307 Fri, 08 Oct 2010 16:54:14 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-307 OK, I’ll try forecasting: 59 wins. Whew! That was tough. :-)

My reasoning is based less on mathematics than it is on logic (computer programmer).

The flaws I see in your reasoning are based no a few somewhat intangible facts that I don’t think you’re taking into consideration.

First: Millsap is a much better player than Boozer. I hope we can agree on that. Briefly, he is a better shooter – one needs only to see the mechanics of their shots to know that Millsap will be more consistent; furthermore, Paul has better post moves, jumps better, is FAR more durable, actually plays hard, aggressive defense, and unlike the pansy, ballet shoes wearing Boozer, is a WARRIOR who doesn’t wilt and fade in the playoffs or other difficult situations. Boozer has a better left hand. That’s it.

Second: Jefferson is a huge, synergistically important upgrade to Memo. He is a low post presence the likes the Jazz have NEVER had, unless you want to compare him to Malone (NOT comparing him to Malone, mind you — just in the sense that Malone could score down low. And Karl never had a running mate like Millsap). Boozer and Millsap are similar players offensively, ie, you wouldn’t want to consistently play them at the same time. Jefferson is not the same player as Millsap but is very complimentary to him. A legitimate low post moves scoring threat that will command a double team or make them regret they didn’t. What do you think Deron, AK and Millsap will do when one of them is left alone? The Jazz offense is designed to find that open guy, and it will net victories.

Lastly: Let’s talk defense! AJ does not have the best rep for defense, but he’s saying all the right things about improving! Sloan will help with that as will Paul, Raja / CJ, AK, and Millsap. AJ is the weakest link in that group, but he’ll be a massive improvement over Carlita and Memo. In the game last night they allowed NINETEEN points in 2 quarters playing against Portland’s (available) varsity.

Additionally, the west has arguably gotten worse this year.

So yeah, major upgrade to the team this year. Major.

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By: Jake http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-306 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 19:40:59 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-306 Makes sense, thanks. Let’s hope Memo can duplicate his numbers from last year once he comes back. 09/10 was an offseason for him but probably about the best we can expect from him after surgery. Great read, I’d love to see the overall grid if you can get it up there.

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By: Kevin Malphurs http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-305 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 17:44:40 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-305 I kept Memo’s WS/48 at the same level as last year (0.126), but because of the injury I decreased his minutes from 2149 (minutes played in 2009/2010) to 1670 as a projection for 2011/2011. I should find a way to post the grid I used to calculate the total win score for the Jazz.

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By: Jake http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-304 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 17:11:59 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-304 What about Memo? Probably hard to predict his performance coming off of such a serious injury, but he will be playing for at least half of the season and should have at least some impact on their win totals after the all-star break.

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By: Mychal Lowman http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-303 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 17:08:34 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-303 Awesome read. As a math guy I love the stats involved. He did miss one key variable. That variable is the pink Hayward jersey variable. I think pink Hayward jerseys will at least account for 1 more win due to the amount of beautiful women sporting the jersey and distracting the opposing team.

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By: Joe http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-302 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 17:01:40 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-302 Great analysis. However, 50 wins would probably result in another year facing the Lakers in the first round of the playoffs.

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By: Jefferson http://saltcityhoops.com/jazz-2010-2011-season-forecast-steady-with-sloan/#comment-301 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 15:58:41 +0000 http://www.saltcityhoops.com/?p=1694#comment-301 Great read…
My prediction? 52 wins…that is soundly based upon my knowledge that the Jazz simply cannot win all 82 games…so, 52 is a nice round number, right?

The Jazz home court advantage already has GM’s fearing trips to ESA.
http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/20224/gms-picking-against-lebron-james

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