Predicting NBA Draft Prospects with Stats – Jazz Jolt Podcast

February 28th, 2014 | by Andy Larsen
Jabari Parker can dunk. But do the stats show he can be a star? (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Jabari Parker can dunk. But do the stats show he can be a star? (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

Ben Dowsett and Clint Johnson are joined by draft aficionado Layne Vastro in this special extended version of the Jazz Jolt podcast. Layne has pioneered several rating systems for players in the upcoming draft class. Impressively, his systems actually correlate better with future success than even the NBA GM’s draft order. Listen to how he does it and what he has to say about this draft’s prospects, like Joel Embiid and Jabari Parker.

Andy Larsen

Andy Larsen

Andy Larsen is the Managing Editor of Salt City Hoops, the ESPN TrueHoop affiliate for the Utah Jazz. He also hosts a radio show and podcast every week on ESPN700 AM in Salt Lake City.
Andy Larsen


  1. casey says:

    awesome podcast. I read all of Layne’s stuff he posts on canishoopus, and I try to stay up to date on how his system is pegging guys. Great podcast!

  2. Ken says:

    Hey guys, I really enjoyed the podcast. Layne seems to be a hella smart guy, and he really made this thing interesting.

    Just one little… tiny… question…

    Who do you people have in mind as your audience when you are making these podcasts?

    Now, I’m not 100% sure of your demographics, but I’m pretty sure any fan interested in the Jazz keeping their drafted players in Utah long enough to contend for a title, would like to hear a little bit of detail about how a certain Duke prospect might pan out….

    Just sayin…

    Maybe its just me.

    • Layne says:

      I can elaborate on that one for you.

      Jabari is one of my favorite prospects. He rates 3rd in the “Humble” model and 4th in the “EWP” model. However, there is some cause for concern given his status as a tweener forward (an issue discussed in the podcast).

      I like the popular Melo comparison as an optimistic outcome. Interestingly from a Utah standpoint, Parker’s closest statistical comp in the past 30 years is Keith Van Horn. A comparison I also like in terms of physical tools and role on the court.

      Here is a link to all of my numbers for anyone who is interested:

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