Predictions for the 2015-16 Utah Jazz

October 14th, 2015 | by David J Smith
Rudy Gobert will be one of the NBA's big stories this seasons. At least that is the prediction here. (Melissa Majchrzak/Getty Images)

Rudy Gobert will be one of the NBA’s big stories this seasons. At least that is the prediction here. (Melissa Majchrzak/Getty Images)

With half the preseason in the books, we are starting to get a better idea of what the 2015-16 Utah Jazz will look like. Not a clear picture, but better than two weeks ago. There have been some encouraging elements along with some concerning ones. Such is the nature of the NBA preseason. It will be exciting to watch how things play out these final four games, as rotations narrow, intensity picks up and the games that really count arrive.

Time for this writer’s annual Utah Jazz-related predictions. As always, we will revisit this in April to see how we fare. Accountability is a beautiful thing. Without further ado…

Quin Snyder will be a Coach of the Year candidate: As a rookie skipper, Quin Snyder turned a lot of heads. Not only did he propel the team to a 13-game increase in the win column, he was the driver behind many of his players’ development. Snyder will have more attention as a second-year coach and will continue to impress. He and his staff will help Utah continue its ascent as an elite defensive team, while making some modest improvements offensively. Thanks to his mentoring, Gordon Hayward and Derrick Favors will grow even more into their leadership roles. Snyder will finish in the top five in Coach of the Year voting and will be viewed as one of the NBA’s top young coaches. And he will most likely have a few emotional episodes on the sidelines which will further endear him to the Jazz fan base.

Top five defense: It was not a mirage, or a short-term development: the Jazz’s defense will prove to be legitimate and will cause other teams great trouble. With Rudy Gobert manning the pivot, Favors playing his trademark stout D and a bevy of capable wings on the perimeter, Utah will sport an elite defense. They will lead the league in blocked shots. Jeff Withey only helps bolster things. With a year of Snyder’s system under their belts and the cohesion little off-season movement fosters, the Jazz will earn their keep by stopping their opponents.

Rudy Gobert will be one of the NBA’s big stories: The Frenchman knows he will be the man from day one, and he will show the NBA how very good he is. With his fierce competitiveness, Gobert will be a double-double guy, finish in the top three in blocked shots and will warrant All-Defensive team accolades. He will also finish in the top five in Most Improved Player votes. True, his energy level has been a concern in the pre-season, but again, it is early yet. Gobert is here to stay and will not look back. The Jazz are very lucky to have found him, a true cornerstone for the now and the future.

Bryce Cotton will nab the 15th roster spot: Neither Bryce Cotton nor Chris Johnson have seen a tremendous amount of playing time in the preseason, but the battle for the final roster spot will be between the pair of guards. The former will be on the regular season roster. While he will clearly be behind Trey Burke and Raul Neto, Cotton has too much speed, talent and modest upside for the Jazz to let him go. With Snyder opting to give more ball-handling responsibilities to Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Rodney Hood, Cotton will not play much.

Utah likes Johnson, but given Elijah Millsap’s improvement, he figures to be on the outside looking in a the swingman rotation. Johnson will, however, be picked up by another team. The Jazz will eat forward Grant Jerrett’s guaranteed contract.

Alec Burks will top 18 PPG: As he has demonstrated thus far in the preseason, Alec Burks’ return is a huge storyline for this Jazz squad. Always such a talented scorer, the now-healthy Burks will emerge as an up-and-coming player, topping 18 PPG. While he will not be Utah’s top scorer — Hayward will maintain that status (perhaps reaching the 20.0 PPG barrier) — he will remove some of his teammates’ burdens on the offensive end. So will Rodney Hood, who will up his scoring to the low teens.

Back-up centers will rotate: Tibor Pleiss and Jeff Withey will take turns as Rudy Gobert’s primary back-up. There will be a lot of experimenting the first few months. By season’s end, Withey will have the slight nod. Pleiss will have an up-and-down rookie campaign, with some growing pains as he adjusts to the NBA game. He will have games where his definite potential shows. Withey will be a very pleasant surprise, providing some very solid minutes for the Jazz. While he will not be flashy, he will get the job done for Snyder.

Utah Jazz All-Stars?: Gordon Hayward, Derrick Favors and Rudy Gobert will all merit All-Star consideration, but given the incredible depth of star power in the Western Conference, only Hayward makes it — as an injury replacement. His all-around game, coupled with Utah’s first-half performance, helps him earn his first appearance in the mid-season classic.

Rodney Hood and rookie Trey Lyles will represent Utah in the Rising Stars Challenge. No other Jazzman will take part in the All-Star Weekend events.

Trade deadline: The Jazz will consummate at least one deal on February’s trade deadline day, but it will certainly not be a blockbuster. As always, general manager Dennis Lindsey will keep his ear to the ground. Trey Burke will be involved, which means…

…Raul Neto will start. Sometime: Like a few others on the Salt City Hoops team, this writer feels that Raul Neto will eventually find himself in the starting five. He may have similar transitional moments like Pleiss, but once he gets more acclimated, Neto could surprise a lot of people. He has already shown his passing proficiency and his ball-hawking prowess. He also has shown how far his offense will need to come. Even so, his game might complement the starters better than Burke’s. By January, Neto will be the full-time starter. As the preseason has shown, however, there will be a lot of triple-wing lineups throughout the season.

Jimbo Rudding will get his chance at halftime act stardom: Of all these predictions, this might be the one people wish to see the most. One could also bet that his act would definitely not involve Jim Les. It will be glorious.

Postseason bound: Utah will indeed battle for the seventh seed, ultimately finishing in the West’s eighth slot. For the first time in a few seasons, the Jazz will be in the playoffs. To a man, that is one of this team’s big goals this season and they will achieve it. Not only will they make it, but they will give their opponent a battle.

Again, this is just one person’s thoughts. Feel free to agree or disagree. Please also share some of your own predictions below.

Let’s the (real) games begin.

David J Smith

David J Smith

Besides writing for Salt City Hoops, David contributes to the Utah Jazz coverage for the Deseret News and has written for the Utah Jazz website and Hoopsworld.com (now Basketball Insiders). He graduated from BYU and works for LDS Philanthropies. He and his incredibly patient wife have five amazing children--four girls and a boy named Stockton (yes, really).
David J Smith
David J Smith

Latest posts by David J Smith (see all)

5 Comments

  1. rvalens2 says:

    David, It’s hard to disagree with any of your assessments for the Jazz this upcoming season. While I do differ, it’s only in small degrees.

    1. Neto will likely take over for Burke sooner than later. I think it’s just a matter of weeks before Snyder comes to the conclusion that the 1st-team squad just plays better with Neto at the helm.

    2. When Snyder goes to the 3-wing lineup, I believe it will be because the match-ups are better. I don’t think it will become his starting unit, but he will use it whenever he needs to.

    3. Rodney Hood will continue to impress this season and prove, beyond a shadow-of-a-doubt, that he was the steal of the 2014 NBA draft, as the 23rd pick. Snyder will decide that Hood should lead the 2nd-team squad and Rodney becomes the go-to guy for them.

    4. Though disappointed, to once again be relegated to a backup role, Trey Burke will take the demotion like a trooper and not complain about it.

    The Jazz will push mightily for a trade to happen, but just might be stuck with Burke until the end of the season. Though, that won’t be a bad thing, unless Trey goes against his usual form and becomes a cancer on the team (ala Raja Bell and Enes Kanter). If he does start to pout and complain about it openly to the media, the Jazz will do what they have to and make a trade happen, even though the best option might just be to let him sit . . . maybe even at home.

    5. Bryce Cotton will nab the final spot on the team, as insurance, just in case disaster strikes the point-guard position.

    Bryce Cotton becomes the anti-venom the Jazz will use when faced with a short, quick point-guard who causes them problems – for example, JJ Barea.

    6. While the Jazz hate the idea of letting Chris Johnson go, fact is they have Millsap who is better. Johnson will quickly get picked up by another NBA team and continue his NBA career, likely somewhere east of the Mississippi.

    7. Withey proves to be such a capable backup to Rudy Gobert, that the Jazz will let Tibor Pleiss drop down to their D-League affiliate to get some extended playing time. He won’t spend more than a few weeks there, but the Jazz will correctly reason that he’ll benefit from getting some extended minutes, as opposed to just riding the pine.

    8. Coach Snyder doesn’t win the Coach of the Year award, but he places a respectable third.

    The Jazz finish the regular season with 50 wins and become the 7th seed in the West. In the playoffs, the Jazz become the team no one wants to play. Their stifling defense pushes their first-round opponent to the wall, but the Jazz lose a close, first-round match-up in seven games.

    But the hand-writing is on the wall. The Jazz are now a team to be feared. And worse yet, they’ll be back, better and stronger than ever in the 2016-2017 playoffs.

    • Diggin' It says:

      Love it! The Jazz could go from bubble playoff team to conference powerhouse in 2016-17. IDJazzman mentioned Trey Lyles improving his sophomore year, and getting Dante Exum back. It will be interesting to see how they play with Dante, after a year without him. If he plays like he did in that ONE summer league game, then our offense will be good.

      The Jazz are almost ready to go chasing rings, they just gotta wait for Dante to grow up fast, which he will under Coach Snyder.

    • David says:

      Thank you so much for sharing your predictions. We see a lot of things playing out similarly. Pleiss could indeed spend time in Idaho. It should be an exciting season, that’s for sure!

  2. Synderforpresident says:

    Most of that seems pretty best case scenario. Rudy probably won’t show that much improvement, the west is so stacked, there is no way Gordon gets an Allstar nod, Alec will average closer to 15/game, our offense will struggle to score a bit with no great facilitating or shooter at point guard, but our defense will keep us afloat to the 8th seed if we can find a way to defend the great point guards in the league.

    • David says:

      Thanks for reading and for sharing your thoughts. We will see how things pan out, but I feel pretty good about my predictions. Let’s get this season started!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *